Tuesday (Tracking Milton)

 Tuesday, 5:00 a.m.

This morning's cone has shifted slightly south, which is better for us.

The center of the cone is now showing a possible landfall at Bradenton Beach, south of Tampa Bay. If this forecast holds, it's better news for Tampa Bay since the right side of the surge would be south of the bay, but there would still be a lot of water ahead of the storm, and that would push directly into the bay. Bradenton Beach is about 40 miles south of us.

Tuesday, 8:00 a.m.

I don't see any change from the 5:00 a.m. forecast.

The center of the cone is still running through Bradenton Beach.

Tuesday, 11:00 a.m.

The cone of probability is moving south, away from us, but we are still in it, maybe the outer third.

The most likely center path is now projected to hit the northern tip of Longboat Key, passing through Bradenton on the mainland.

Tuesday, 2:00 p.m.

no change

no change

Tuesday, 5:00 p.m.

With this latest update, there has been some movement south, away from us, at least with the center of the cone. We are still in the top 20% of the cone. The cone would need to move another 30 miles or so south for us to be outside the cone.

The center path would now cross Sarasota, about 50 miles south of us. For us to be outside the cone, the center path would need to cross just south of Venice, Fl. Nevertheless, this is better news for us.

Next update: Tuesday, 8:00 p.m.

Looks about the same

The center of the cone goes through Sarasota. In this scenario, water in Tampa Bay might be pushed out of the bay, not sure though.

We started the day with landfall predicted at Bradenton Beach and ended with Sarasota, a shift south of about 30 miles.

Next update from me: 5:00 a.m.

CNN updates every 3 hours.

The city fenced in this field for debris deposits from Hurricane Helene.

This field is fenced in for household debris: appliances, drywall, carpet, wood flooring, furniture, etc.

It's a desperate interim step.

All this debris will have to be moved again later. The object is to keep it out of the gulf and to keep it from getting caught up in the storm surge of Milton, causing more damage to homes and scattering it far and wide. Will the fence keep everything from becoming airborne?

I don't think anyone knows.

I call this a desperate plan because no one deliberately makes a mess in a beautiful park, knowing that you'll have to come back and clean it up soon. The city had no choice.

FEMA trucks entering every few minutes. It's a race against the clock. This field is closer than the county landfill which is also taking debris around the clock.

This street is 1/2 mile away from the gulf, but it borders a tidal creek, Cedar creek in Hammock Park.

If this debris isn't removed, Milton's surge will take it and scatter it everywhere.

What a disaster.

This street is not as bad as the ones on the water where the piles are stacked over your head on both sides of the street.

We passed Knot of Main yesterday and saw that they have removed everything from the entire store, even the shelves. The parking lot was full of shelves and display cases, whereas previously, the store's contents were in the parking lot.

What a waste.

All of this becomes floating debris soon, if not picked up.